Voter Intelligence
Demographics, psychographics, and electoral analysis
UCP: 50% | NDP: 37%
UCP
46%
NDP
44%
Other
10%
Vote Intention
46%
Smith Approval
Disapproval: 48%
13%
Undecided Voters
Key swing demographic
18%
Swing Voters
Calgary suburban
Leader Comparison
UCP
Danielle SmithFavorable: 41%Unfavorable: 46%
NDP
Naheed NenshiFavorable: 38%Unfavorable: 45%
Liberal
John RoggeveenFavorable: 25%Unfavorable: 32%
Electoral Strengths
Economic Management68%
Energy Sector78%
Tax Policy72%
Rural Mobilization65%
Key Vulnerabilities
Healthcare Performance42%
Housing Affordability35%
Women Voter Gap42%
Sovereignty Agenda45%
Voter Turnout Trend
20152025
Highest
2019: 71.1%
2023
59.8%
Electoral Map Overview
Rural Alberta
35% of electorate
UCP54%
NDP36%
Turnout: 65%
UCP 49, NDP 38 (province-wide)
Calgary
32% of electorate
UCP48%
NDP43%
Turnout: 58%
Mixed
Edmonton
28% of electorate
UCP29%
NDP60%
Turnout: 62%
NDP stronghold