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Alberta, Canada

DS

PESTLE Analysis

Macro-environmental factors affecting Premier Danielle Smith

Threat Level: HIGH
Score: 5.8/10

PESTLE Factor Overview

Political
9/10
WorseningCRITICAL - Separatist crisis, federal tensions
Economic
6/10
MixedMODERATE - Growth with risks
Social
5/10
WorseningMODERATE - Healthcare crisis, polarization
Technological
4/10
ImprovingLOW-MODERATE - AI leadership emerging
Legal
5/10
MixedMODERATE - Reforms underway
Environmental
6/10
ImprovingMODERATE-HIGH - Policy shifts

Critical Recent Developments

Jan 29-30, 2026
Separatist meetings with Trump officials revealed
CRITICAL
Jan 30, 2026
Dennis Modry claims Smith discussed leading independent Alberta
HIGH
Jan 11, 2026
Liaison Strategies poll: UCP 46%, NDP 44%
NEUTRAL
Jan 31, 2026
Federal Conservative convention in Calgary
NEUTRAL
Nov 27, 2025
Canada-Alberta MOU signed
POSITIVE

Key Strengths

Provincial Autonomy Score (8.0)

Strong leverage in federal negotiations

Canada-Alberta MOU Success

Carbon pricing flexibility achieved

AI Leadership Emerging

Technology sector showing strong growth

GDP Growth (2.5%)

Above national average

Key Vulnerabilities

Separatist Crisis

International attention, US meetings

Healthcare (54% priority)

Dominant public concern

Budget Deficit ($5.2B)

No path to balance announced

Judicial Independence

Constitutional concerns