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Alberta, Canada

DS

Issues Tracking

Agent 011 - Priority alert level: RED

35% Crisis Probability
7
Total Issues
2
Critical
3
High Priority
1
Medium
76
Days to Crisis
HIGH
Risk Level
CRITICAL

Alberta Separatism and Referendum Movement

ISS-001

IMMEDIATE
95
Salience
RAPIDLY
Trend
5
Developments

The separatist movement has gained unprecedented momentum with Election Alberta approving a separation referendum petition. Multiple sources confirm that members of Premier Smith's own UCP caucus have signed the referendum petition.

Key Developments

Jeff Rath states UCP caucus members signed referendum petition
2026-01-30 | Stay Free Alberta
Dennis Modry claims Smith discussed leading independent Alberta
2026-01-30 | The Tyee
BC premier labels Alberta separatists as "traitors"
2026-01-29 | CTV News
CRITICAL

Trump Administration and Separatist International Connections

ISS-002

IMMEDIATE
90
Salience
RAPIDLY
Trend
5
Developments

Three reported meetings between Alberta separatists and Trump administration officials. Separatists are seeking US funding. International media coverage is intense.

Key Developments

Al Jazeera reports Trump officials driving Alberta separatist movement
2026-01-30 | Al Jazeera
CNN covers Alberta independence and Trump connections
2026-01-30 | CNN
First Nations chiefs sound alarm over foreign interference
2026-01-30 | APTN News

High Priority Issues

Federal-Provincial Relations
HIGH
Salience: 85Trend: ESCALATING
Healthcare System Performance
HIGH
Salience: 78Trend: STABLE
Economic Policy and Energy
HIGH
Salience: 75Trend: IMPROVING

Medium Priority

Education and Social Policy
MEDIUM

Curriculum renewal, parental rights legislation, and teacher union relations ongoing.

Media Coverage

Very High
Intensity
Mixed/Negative
Sentiment
CNN
Al Jazeera
CBC
CTV
The Tyee
The Guardian
BBC
Axios
Financial Times