Polling Intelligence
Comprehensive polling data and electoral projections for Alberta
Jan 23-26, 2026
Source: Leger
50%
UCP
37%
NDP
13
Point Lead
1,200
Sample Size
±2.8%
Margin of Error
Provincial Voting Intent
UCP
NDP
50%
UCP37%
NDP13%
Other5-Month Trend
Dec 2025
48%
38%
14%
Nov 2025
49%
36%
15%
Oct 2025
47%
39%
14%
Sep 2025
46%
40%
14%
Aug 2025
45%
41%
14%
UCP
NDP
Regional Breakdown
Calgary
+10 lead
UCP: 48%NDP: 38%
Edmonton
-3 lead
UCP: 42%NDP: 45%
Rest of Alberta
+28 lead
UCP: 58%NDP: 30%
Premier Approval
Danielle SmithNet: -5
Approve: 41%Disapprove: 46%
Naheed NenshiNet: -7
Approve: 38%Disapprove: 45%
By Age Group
18-34
42%
40%
18%
35-54
52%
35%
13%
55+
58%
32%
10%
Key Issues
Healthcare
Economy
Cost of Living
Energy
Education
Voting Intent Certainty
Certain to Vote68%
Likely to Vote22%
Uncertain10%
Swing Voter Analysis
18%
of Electorate
Leaning UCP52%
Leaning NDP35%
Undecided13%